Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Galati, clay

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Sara Victoria Balan		Chiara Fornasieri

	1	2
	1.60	2.15
	1.72	2.00
	1.71	2.16
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.69	2.13
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)	2.11 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Victoria Balan
55.8%

Chiara Fornasieri
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Victoria Balan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Chiara Fornasieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Victoria Balan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Victoria Balan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiara Fornasieri than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chiara Fornasieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sara Victoria Balan - Chiara Fornasieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Balan is ranked WTA: 975. Fornasieri is ranked WTA: 1040.

Balan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fornasieri has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Balan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Victoria Balan
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Sara Victoria Balan - Allegra Korpanec Davies	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Sara Victoria Balan - Alesia Breaz	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Lavinia Tanasie - Sara Victoria Balan	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Lavinia Tanasie - Sara Victoria Balan	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Sara Victoria Balan - Anastasia Safta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW
- Chiara Fornasieri
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Chiara Fornasieri - Eva Maria Ionescu	Ionescu E. M. Retired ✺
24.06.26	Chiara Fornasieri - Laura Brunkel	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Lourdes Ayala - Chiara Fornasieri	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Chiara Fornasieri - Natalia Sousa Salazar	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Andre Lukosiute - Chiara Fornasieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?WLWL

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