Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Casablanca, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday


	Sarah Iliev		Elina Nepliy

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.89	1.82
	2.06	1.78
	1.97	1.71	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.93	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.99)	1.76 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarah Iliev
47.3%

Elina Nepliy
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarah Iliev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Elina Nepliy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarah Iliev than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Nepliy than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Sarah Iliev - Elina Nepliy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Iliev is ranked WTA: 733. Nepliy is ranked WTA: 540.

Iliev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nepliy is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarah Iliev
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Sarah Iliev - Zineb El Mouttaki	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Sarah Iliev - Natalia Klys	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Eva Marie Voracek - Sarah Iliev	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Sarah Iliev - Cristina Diaz Adrover	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Valentina Steiner - Sarah Iliev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Elina Nepliy
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Alina Mokrynska - Elina Nepliy	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Laetitia Sarrazin - Elina Nepliy	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Ekaterina Maklakova - Elina Nepliy	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	Elina Nepliy - Sandra Samir	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Elina Nepliy - Teodora Vlajic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

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