Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Dijon, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Sarah Iliev		Marta Soriano Santiago

	1	2
	1.50	2.35
	1.54	2.30
	1.56	2.47
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.40
	1.48	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.83)	2.38 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarah Iliev
61%

Marta Soriano Santiago
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarah Iliev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarah Iliev's performance.

Marta Soriano Santiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marta Soriano Santiago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarah Iliev than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Soriano Santiago than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Sarah Iliev - Marta Soriano Santiago Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iliev is ranked WTA: 776. Soriano Santiago is ranked WTA: 790.

Recent performances by Iliev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Soriano Santiago is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Iliev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Marta Soriano Santiago - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarah Iliev
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Gina Marie Dittmann - Sarah Iliev	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Kayla Lorrimer - Sarah Iliev	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Agustina Chlpac - Sarah Iliev	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Alice Tubello - Sarah Iliev	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard - Sarah Iliev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL
- Marta Soriano Santiago
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Diana Marcinkevica - Marta Soriano Santiago	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Ninon Carpentier - Marta Soriano Santiago	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Victoria Pohle - Marta Soriano Santiago	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Jahnie Van Zyl - Marta Soriano Santiago	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Iulia Maria Buculei - Marta Soriano Santiago	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW

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