Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Tauranga, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday


	Sarah Rokusek		Yuno Kitahara

	1	2
	1.67	2.07
	1.67	2.22
	1.67	2.04	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.63	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.63)	2.11 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarah Rokusek
56.1%

Yuno Kitahara
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarah Rokusek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarah Rokusek's performance.

Yuno Kitahara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuno Kitahara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarah Rokusek than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarah Rokusek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuno Kitahara than the current prediction. (+23.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuno Kitahara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sarah Rokusek - Yuno Kitahara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rokusek will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kitahara will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rokusek (votes: 2 - 50%). Kitahara (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rokusek is ranked WTA: 762. Kitahara is ranked WTA: 610.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kitahara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarah Rokusek
ITF Tournaments
15.12.25	Tori Russell - Sarah Rokusek	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Kayo Nishimura - Sarah Rokusek	2:0 ✺
11.12.25	Sarah Rokusek - Chiara Di Tommaso	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Ava Beck - Sarah Rokusek	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Sarah Rokusek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Yuno Kitahara
ITF Tournaments
15.12.25	Angela Cui - Yuno Kitahara	0:2 ✺
11.12.25	Yuno Kitahara - Stefi Webb	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Yuno Kitahara - Audrey Aulia	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Yuno Kitahara - Maahi Shah	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Ying Zhang - Yuno Kitahara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWWL

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