Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 14 (Serbia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kursumlijska Banja 14 (Serbia) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Sarah Van Emst		Madelief Hageman

	1	2
	1.39	2.7
	1.4	2.73	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.58)	2.73 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarah Van Emst
66.1%

Madelief Hageman
33.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarah Van Emst has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarah Van Emst's performance.

Madelief Hageman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madelief Hageman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarah Van Emst than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarah Van Emst that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madelief Hageman than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madelief Hageman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Van Emst is ranked WTA: 853. Hageman is ranked WTA: 900.

Recent matches Van Emst is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hageman is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hageman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Van Emst will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarah Van Emst
ITF Tournaments
27.07.24	Kamilla Bartone - Sarah Van Emst	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Sarah Van Emst - Isis Louise Van den Broek	Van Emst S. walkover ✺
25.07.24	Sarah Van Emst - Dunja Maric	Maric D. retired ✺
24.07.24	Nagi Hanatani - Sarah Van Emst	0:2 ✺
10.07.24	Sarah Van Emst - Gina Feistel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 L??WL
- Madelief Hageman
ITF Tournaments
24.07.24	Eleejah Inisan - Madelief Hageman	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Kamilla Bartone - Madelief Hageman	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Madelief Hageman - Ekaterina Ivanova	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Madelief Hageman	2:0 ✺
31.05.24	Andreea Prisacariu - Madelief Hageman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Sarah Van Emst - Madelief Hageman

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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