Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Bravo J. L. (Mex)


	Sebastian Fanselow		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.36
	3	1.35	Watch
	3.19	1.37
	3.19	1.37
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.93	1.38	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.5)	1.38 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Fanselow
31.9%

Alexis Galarneau
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Fanselow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Fanselow's form might have worsened.

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexis Galarneau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Fanselow than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Fanselow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sebastian Fanselow - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fanselow will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Galarneau will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Galarneau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Galarneau is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fanselow won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Fanselow
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Sebastian Fanselow - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.03.24	Jakub Nicod - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Sebastian Fanselow	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Martyn Pawelski - Sebastian Fanselow	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Aleksandr Braynin - Sebastian Fanselow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
12.04.24	Alexis Galarneau - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Alexis Galarneau - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Rinky Hijikata - Alexis Galarneau	Hijikata R. retired ✺
07.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Maxime Janvier - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.10.22	Sebastian Fanselow - Alexis Galarneau	1:2
31.05.21	Alexis Galarneau - Sebastian Fanselow	2:1

Sebastian Fanselow - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide