Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Poland	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sebastian Korda		Hamad Medjedovic

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.43	2.77
	1.43	3.08
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.33	3.32	Watch
	1.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	2.92 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
67.3%

Hamad Medjedovic
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hamad Medjedovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	0%	52.9%

Sebastian Korda - Hamad Medjedovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Medjedovic will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medjedovic: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Medjedovic is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Korda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Astana
01.10.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Nuno Borges - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
25.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Sebastian Korda - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Astana
01.10.23	Jiri Lehecka - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Laslo Djere	Medjedovic H. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.23	Harold Mayot - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Daniel Rincon - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WW?WW

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