Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Bolzano, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Sebastian Sorger		Alexander Weis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.72	2.00
	1.80	2.03
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.78	2.01
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.05)	1.98 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Sorger
53.1%

Alexander Weis
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Sorger's performance.

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Weis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Sorger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Weis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sebastian Sorger - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sorger is ranked ATP: 476. Weis is ranked ATP: 531.

Sorger is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Weis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sorger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sorger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Sorger - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.73%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Sebastian Sorger - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Sebastian Sorger - Pietro Romeo Scomparin	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Sebastian Sorger - Maximilian Figl	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Faris Zakaryia - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Alexander Weis - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Alexander Weis - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Alexander Weis - Nicola Rispoli	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Alexander Weis - Sean Cuenin	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Alexander Weis - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	Weis A. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWL?

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