Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 La Nucia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday


	Sergi Perez Contri		Julio Cesar Porras

	1	2
	1.87	1.8
	2	1.74
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	1.91	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.72)	1.77 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergi Perez Contri
47.5%

Julio Cesar Porras
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergi Perez Contri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sergi Perez Contri's form might have worsened.

Julio Cesar Porras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Julio Cesar Porras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergi Perez Contri than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergi Perez Contri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julio Cesar Porras than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Julio Cesar Porras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sergi Perez Contri - Julio Cesar Porras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Perez Contri is ranked ATP: 672. Porras is ranked ATP: 618.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Porras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Perez Contri won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergi Perez Contri
ITF Tournaments
28.05.25	Sergi Perez Contri - Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Stefan Adrian Andreescu - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Sergi Perez Contri - Arthur Reymond	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Ivan Gakhov - Sergi Perez Contri	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Sergi Perez Contri - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW
- Julio Cesar Porras
ITF Tournaments
28.05.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Julio Cesar Porras	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Olle Wallin - Julio Cesar Porras	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Antoine Berger - Julio Cesar Porras	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Izan Almazan Valiente - Julio Cesar Porras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.02.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2
18.10.24	Julio Cesar Porras - Sergi Perez Contri	2:1
07.09.24	Sergi Perez Contri - Julio Cesar Porras	1:2
30.11.22	Sergi Perez Contri - Julio Cesar Porras	2:1

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