Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Vero Beach, FL, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vero Beach 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Shilin Xu		Gergana Topalova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.43	2.6
	1.45	2.77
	1.28	3.26	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.38	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.59)	2.78 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shilin Xu
66.5%

Gergana Topalova
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shilin Xu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shilin Xu's performance.

Gergana Topalova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gergana Topalova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shilin Xu than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shilin Xu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gergana Topalova than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gergana Topalova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shilin Xu - Gergana Topalova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Xu is ranked WTA: 697. Topalova is ranked WTA: 389.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Topalova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Xu could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Gergana Topalova - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shilin Xu
ITF Tournaments
22.01.26	Shilin Xu - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Maya Iyengar - Shilin Xu	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Shilin Xu - Haley Giavara	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Julieta Pareja - Shilin Xu	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Vivian Wolff - Shilin Xu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWL
- Gergana Topalova
ITF Tournaments
22.01.26	Gergana Topalova - Maria Fernanda Navarro	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Gergana Topalova - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Dalila Spiteri - Gergana Topalova	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Gergana Topalova - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Gergana Topalova - Carla Markus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

Shilin Xu - Gergana Topalova

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Shilin Xu - Gergana Topalova Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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