Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Shuai Zhang		Mary Stoiana

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.1
	1.3	3.39
	1.26	3.74	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.33	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)	3.29 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shuai Zhang
71.4%

Mary Stoiana
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shuai Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Mary Stoiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Shuai Zhang - Mary Stoiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Stoiana will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhang is ranked WTA: 110. Stoiana is ranked WTA: 309.

Zhang is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Stoiana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zhang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zhang is a strong favorite.

We predict that Zhang will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shuai Zhang
WTA Montreal
26.07.25	Shuai Zhang - Destanee Aiava	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.25	Shuai Zhang - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Shuai Zhang - Vendula Valdmannova	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Shuai Zhang - Amelia Rajecki	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Shuai Zhang - Marie Weckerle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?WWWW
- Mary Stoiana
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Ayana Akli - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Arianne Hartono - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Mary Stoiana - Sijia Wei	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Mary Stoiana - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Mary Stoiana - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL

Shuai Zhang - Mary Stoiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide