Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bali 4 (Indonesia), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 December 2024, Wednesday


	Shunsuke Nakagawa		Hayato Matsuoka

	1	2
	1.85	1.83
	1.81	1.86
	1.86	1.9
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.81	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.08)	1.86 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shunsuke Nakagawa
50.2%

Hayato Matsuoka
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shunsuke Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shunsuke Nakagawa's performance.

Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hayato Matsuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shunsuke Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shunsuke Nakagawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hayato Matsuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 1355. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 930.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Matsuoka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shunsuke Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
25.12.24	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Shunsuke Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
23.12.24	Makoto Ochi - Shunsuke Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.11.24	Alexander Blockx - Shunsuke Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.24	Kosuke Shibano - Shunsuke Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Issei Okamura - Shunsuke Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW
- Hayato Matsuoka
ITF Tournaments
25.12.24	Hayato Matsuoka - Giles Hussey	2:1 ✺
23.12.24	Hayato Matsuoka - Junhyun Lee	2:0 ✺
18.12.24	Hayato Matsuoka - Renta Tokuda	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.11.24	Hikaru Shiraishi - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Hayato Matsuoka - Zura Tkemaladze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLL

Shunsuke Nakagawa - Hayato Matsuoka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide