Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: IASI (ROMANIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 21 July 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 2


	Simona Waltert		Ana Bogdan

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.05	1.38
	3.25	1.36
	3	1.36
	2.97	1.37	Watch
	3	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.44)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
30.9%

Ana Bogdan
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Simona Waltert's form might have worsened.

Ana Bogdan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ana Bogdan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Simona Waltert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ana Bogdan than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ana Bogdan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Simona Waltert - Ana Bogdan Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Waltert will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Bogdan will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waltert: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Waltert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bogdan will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bogdan to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
19.07.23	Simona Waltert - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
17.07.23	Simona Waltert - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.23	Marie Bouzkova - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
29.06.23	Simona Waltert - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Simona Waltert - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Ana Bogdan
ATP Challenger
20.07.23	Conny Perrin - Ana Bogdan	1:2 ✺
18.07.23	Barbora Palicova - Ana Bogdan	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
07.07.23	Lesia Tsurenko - Ana Bogdan	2:1 ✺
06.07.23	Alycia Parks - Ana Bogdan	1:2 ✺
03.07.23	Ana Bogdan - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

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