Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Simona Waltert		Luisina Giovannini

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.2	4.1	Watch
	1.21	4.57
	1.24	3.57	Watch
	1.22	4.02	Watch
	1.24	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)	4.04 ↑ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
76.8%

Luisina Giovannini
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simona Waltert's performance.

Luisina Giovannini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luisina Giovannini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simona Waltert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luisina Giovannini than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luisina Giovannini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Simona Waltert - Luisina Giovannini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 97. Giovannini is ranked WTA: 275.

Waltert is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Giovannini has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Waltert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Waltert is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Simona Waltert - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.71%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Simona Waltert - Lola Radivojevic	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Simona Waltert - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Simona Waltert - Sinja Kraus	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Luisina Giovannini
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Luisina Giovannini - Katarina Jokic	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Luisina Giovannini - Fiorella Britez Risso	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Luisina Giovannini - Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Luisina Giovannini - Katharina Hobgarski	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Luisina Giovannini - Sahaja Yamalapalli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

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