Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Simona Waltert		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
	1.14	5	Watch
	1.12	5.25
	1.13	5.2	Watch
	1.12	5.76	Watch
	1.14	5
	1.09	5.77	Watch
	1.12	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.33)	5.31 ↑ (3.19)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
82.5%

Matilde Jorge
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simona Waltert's performance.

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matilde Jorge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simona Waltert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matilde Jorge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Simona Waltert - Matilde Jorge Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 18.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 162. Jorge is ranked WTA: 277.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Jorge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Waltert won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Simona Waltert - Leyre Romero Gormaz	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Simona Waltert - Adelina Lachinova	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Olga Danilovic - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Simona Waltert - Sara Bejlek	Bejlek S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWL?
- Matilde Jorge
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
10.04.25	Arabella Koller - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Beatrise Zeltina - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Matilde Jorge - Maria Mateas	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Ayana Akli - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.04.24	Simona Waltert - Matilde Jorge	2:0

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