Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday


	Simona Waltert		Paula Ormaechea

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.55	Watch
	1.35	3
	1.36	2.98
	1.44	2.62
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.46	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.83)	2.77 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
66.4%

Paula Ormaechea
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simona Waltert's performance.

Paula Ormaechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paula Ormaechea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simona Waltert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Ormaechea than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Ormaechea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Simona Waltert - Paula Ormaechea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Waltert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Waltert will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Waltert won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
WTA Roma
09.05.23	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Martina Colmegna - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.05.23	Simona Waltert - Jaimee Fourlis	1:2 ✺
05.05.23	Lois Boisson - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
04.05.23	Yanina Wickmayer - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW
- Paula Ormaechea
ITF Tournaments
19.04.23	Sachia Vickery - Paula Ormaechea	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.23	Lesia Tsurenko - Paula Ormaechea	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Magdalena Frech - Paula Ormaechea	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Jamie Loeb - Paula Ormaechea	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Paula Ormaechea - Nadia Podoroska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
11.01.22	Paula Ormaechea - Simona Waltert	1:2
ITF Tournaments
30.09.21	Simona Waltert - Paula Ormaechea	2:1
WTA Strasbourg
22.05.21	Paula Ormaechea - Simona Waltert	0:2

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