Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Rovinj, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Simone Massellani		Tiago Cacao

	1	2
	5.57	1.15
	4.6	1.15	Watch
	4.33	1.17
	4.95	1.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (2.67)	1.15 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simone Massellani
19.1%

Tiago Cacao
80.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simone Massellani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Simone Massellani's form might have worsened.

Tiago Cacao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiago Cacao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simone Massellani than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Simone Massellani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Cacao than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tiago Cacao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Simone Massellani - Tiago Cacao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Massellani is ranked ATP: 1695. Cacao is ranked ATP: 841.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cacao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cacao is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simone Massellani
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Simone Massellani - Jeremy Gschwendtner	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Simone Massellani - Mak Mikovic	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Savva Rybkin - Simone Massellani	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Yanki Erel - Simone Massellani	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Lachlan Vickery - Simone Massellani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- Tiago Cacao
ITF Tournaments
06.03.26	Tiago Cacao - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Fausto Tabacco - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Tiago Cacao	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Sean Hodkin - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW

Simone Massellani - Tiago Cacao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide