Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kofu, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kofu 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sofia Costoulas		Hayu Kinoshita

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Sofia Costoulas
53%

Hayu Kinoshita
47%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Costoulas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sofia Costoulas's performance.

Hayu Kinoshita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hayu Kinoshita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Costoulas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayu Kinoshita than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Costoulas is ranked WTA: 148. Kinoshita is ranked WTA: 315.

Costoulas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kinoshita is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Costoulas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Costoulas
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Sofia Costoulas - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Sofia Costoulas - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Kyoka Okamura - Sofia Costoulas	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Sofia Costoulas - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Sofia Costoulas - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL
- Hayu Kinoshita
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Sara Saito - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Olivia Gadecki	Canceled ✺
14.03.26	Ena Shibahara - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 W?WWW

Sofia Costoulas - Hayu Kinoshita