Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Samsun, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Sofia Costoulas		Weronika Falkowska

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.24	3.65	Watch
	1.25	4.05
	1.20	4.22	Watch
	1.26	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.36)	3.86 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Costoulas
75.7%

Weronika Falkowska
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Costoulas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sofia Costoulas's performance.

Weronika Falkowska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Weronika Falkowska might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Costoulas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sofia Costoulas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weronika Falkowska than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Weronika Falkowska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sofia Costoulas - Weronika Falkowska Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Costoulas (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Costoulas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Costoulas is ranked WTA: 165. Falkowska is ranked WTA: 390.

Costoulas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Falkowska's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Costoulas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Costoulas is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Costoulas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Sofia Costoulas - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.81%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Costoulas
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Sofia Costoulas - Polina Iatcenko	Costoulas S. retired ✺
11.09.25	Sofia Costoulas - Gina Marie Dittmann	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Sofia Costoulas - Georgia Kalamaris	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Lola Radivojevic - Sofia Costoulas	Costoulas S. retired ✺
30.08.25	Ayla Aksu - Sofia Costoulas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?WW?W
- Weronika Falkowska
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Nika Radisic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Natalija Senic	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Katharina Hobgarski	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.09.24	Weronika Falkowska - Sofia Costoulas	1:2
ITF Tournaments
22.11.23	Sofia Costoulas - Weronika Falkowska	2:0

Sofia Costoulas - Weronika Falkowska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide