Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Evora, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Sofia Johnson		Xinyu Gao

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.18	1.60	Watch
	2.21	1.68
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.18	1.66
	2.15	1.60	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.68)	1.63 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Johnson
43.1%

Xinyu Gao
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sofia Johnson's performance.

Xinyu Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xinyu Gao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Johnson than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sofia Johnson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xinyu Gao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sofia Johnson - Xinyu Gao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Johnson is ranked WTA: 459. Gao is ranked WTA: 230.

Johnson is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gao has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Johnson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gao will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Johnson
ITF Tournaments
08.09.26	Oceane Dodin - Sofia Johnson	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Anastasia Gasanova	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Celia Cervino Ruiz	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Harmony Tan - Sofia Johnson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWW
- Xinyu Gao
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Elena Micic - Xinyu Gao	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Barbora Palicova - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Zongyu Li - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Xinyu Gao - Jana Kovackova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Sofia Johnson - Xinyu Gao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide