Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday


	Sofia Kenin		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.64	2.36
	1.80	2.03	Watch
	1.57	2.38
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.44)	2.31 ↓ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Kenin
58.6%

Varvara Gracheva
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Kenin's form might have worsened.

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Kenin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kenin will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gracheva will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kenin: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kenin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gracheva (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Gracheva (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kenin (votes: 1 - 25%). Gracheva (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kenin is ranked WTA: 29. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 103.

Kenin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gracheva is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kenin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kenin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Kenin
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Sofia Kenin - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
24.07.25	Taylor Townsend - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Hailey Baptiste - Sofia Kenin	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.25	Sofia Kenin - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Sofia Kenin - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Cincinnati
08.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Katie Volynets	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Iva Jovic - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Mihaela Buzarnescu - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
27.07.25	Lin Zhu - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Varvara Gracheva - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
27.05.25	Varvara Gracheva - Sofia Kenin	0:2

Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide