Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Viserba di Rimini, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Sofia Shapatava		Chiara Fornasieri

	1	2
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.43	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.69)	2.57 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Shapatava
64.3%

Chiara Fornasieri
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Shapatava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sofia Shapatava's performance.

Chiara Fornasieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chiara Fornasieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Shapatava than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sofia Shapatava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiara Fornasieri than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chiara Fornasieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sofia Shapatava - Chiara Fornasieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapatava is ranked WTA: 469. Fornasieri is ranked WTA: 932.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Fornasieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shapatava could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Shapatava
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Sofia Shapatava - Alja Senica	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Sofia Shapatava - Francesca Gandolfi	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Sofia Shapatava - Daniela Vismane	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Sofia Shapatava - Cecilia Manitto	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Laura Mair - Sofia Shapatava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL
- Chiara Fornasieri
ITF Tournaments
08.09.26	Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen - Chiara Fornasieri	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Michaela Bayerlova - Chiara Fornasieri	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Anna Lena Ebster - Chiara Fornasieri	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Anna Orlando Pellicero - Chiara Fornasieri	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Chiara Fornasieri - Oriana Gniewkowska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

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