Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santarém (Portugal), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 September 2024, Wednesday


	Sofia Shapatava		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
	2.39	1.51
	3.59	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.24)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sofia Shapatava
31.7%

Matilde Jorge
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Shapatava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Shapatava's form might have worsened.

Matilde Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Jorge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Shapatava than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Shapatava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Jorge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Shapatava is ranked WTA: 623. Jorge is ranked WTA: 483.

Recent matches Shapatava is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jorge in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shapatava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jorge will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Jorge to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Shapatava
ITF Tournaments
30.08.24	Oana Gavrila - Sofia Shapatava	2:1 ✺
29.08.24	Sofia Shapatava - Denislava Glushkova	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Sofia Shapatava - Merel Hoedt	Shapatava S. walkover ✺
21.08.24	Sofia Shapatava - Denise Valente	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Sofia Shapatava - Oana Gavrila	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LW?LW
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
08.09.24	Matilde Jorge - Anastasia Kulikova	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Ella McDonald - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
06.09.24	Matilde Jorge - Radka Zelnickova	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Aglaya Fedorova - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWWW

Sofia Shapatava - Matilde Jorge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide