Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Sofia Shapatava		Tina Nadine Smith

	1	2
	2.45	1.53
	2.66	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.09)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Shapatava
36.4%

Tina Nadine Smith
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Shapatava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Shapatava's form might have worsened.

Tina Nadine Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tina Nadine Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Shapatava than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Shapatava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tina Nadine Smith than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tina Nadine Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sofia Shapatava - Tina Nadine Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shapatava is ranked WTA: 424. Smith is ranked WTA: 322.

Shapatava has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Smith is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shapatava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tina Nadine Smith - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.29%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Shapatava
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Anastasia Bertacchi - Sofia Shapatava	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Noemi Basiletti - Sofia Shapatava	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Rositsa Dencheva - Sofia Shapatava	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Sofia Shapatava - Tessa Johanna Brockmann	Shapatava S. retired ✺
15.08.25	Sofia Shapatava - Amandine Monnot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWW?W
- Tina Nadine Smith
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Gergana Topalova	Topalova G. retired ✺
20.08.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Ruth Roura Llaverias	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Mia Ristic	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Pia Lovric - Tina Nadine Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 W?WLW

Sofia Shapatava - Tina Nadine Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide