Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50+H Leipzig, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Sohyun Park		Alisa Oktiabreva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.48	1.5
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.32	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.83)	1.54 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sohyun Park
39.8%

Alisa Oktiabreva
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sohyun Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sohyun Park's form might have worsened.

Alisa Oktiabreva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alisa Oktiabreva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sohyun Park than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sohyun Park, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alisa Oktiabreva than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alisa Oktiabreva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Park is ranked WTA: 311. Oktiabreva is ranked WTA: 347.

Park is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Oktiabreva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Park may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Oktiabreva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Sohyun Park - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sohyun Park
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Sohyun Park - Lea Boskovic	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Sohyun Park - Josy Daems	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Astrid Lew Yan Foon - Sohyun Park	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Sohyun Park - Noma Akugue Noha	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Sohyun Park - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW
- Alisa Oktiabreva
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Alisa Oktiabreva - Oksana Selekhmeteva	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Lola Radivojevic - Alisa Oktiabreva	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Susan Bandecchi - Alisa Oktiabreva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.07.25	Georgia Pedone - Alisa Oktiabreva	2:1 ✺
04.07.25	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Alisa Oktiabreva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW

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