Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Parma, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Solana Sierra		Dayana Yastremska

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.84	Watch
	1.93	1.92
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.08)	1.84 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Solana Sierra
49.4%

Dayana Yastremska
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Solana Sierra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Dayana Yastremska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Solana Sierra than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Solana Sierra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dayana Yastremska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Solana Sierra - Dayana Yastremska Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yastremska (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dayana Yastremska will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sierra is ranked WTA: 72. Yastremska is ranked WTA: 52.

Sierra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Yastremska has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yastremska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sierra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Solana Sierra
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Solana Sierra - Kaja Juvan	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Solana Sierra - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Cori Gauff - Solana Sierra	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Solana Sierra - Anhelina Kalinina	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Solana Sierra - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWW
- Dayana Yastremska
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Victoria Bosio - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
05.05.26	Anastasia Zakharova - Dayana Yastremska	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Dayana Yastremska - Solana Sierra	0:2 ✺
WTA Linz
08.04.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Dayana Yastremska	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Dayana Yastremska - Solana Sierra	0:2

Solana Sierra - Dayana Yastremska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide