Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Surbiton (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 June 2024, Wednesday


	Sonay Kartal		Tatjana Maria

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	1.93	1.75
	2	1.75
	2.01	1.75
	2	1.73
	1.92	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.5)	1.75 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonay Kartal
47.2%

Tatjana Maria
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sonay Kartal's performance.

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tatjana Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonay Kartal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tatjana Maria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sonay Kartal - Tatjana Maria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kartal will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Maria will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kartal: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

Kartal in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Maria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kartal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Maria will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kartal to win the game is with odds 2.5.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonay Kartal
ITF Tournaments
18.05.24	Sonay Kartal - Linda Klimovicova	2:0 ✺
17.05.24	Elena Micic - Sonay Kartal	0:2 ✺
16.05.24	Sonay Kartal - Tamira Paszek	Paszek T. retired ✺
14.05.24	Sonay Kartal - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Sonay Kartal - Klaudija Bubelyte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WW?WW
- Tatjana Maria
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.24	Tatjana Maria - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
WTA Rabat
20.05.24	Nadia Podoroska - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
09.05.24	Darya Kasatkina - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Tatjana Maria - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.24	Victoria Azarenka - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL

Sonay Kartal - Tatjana Maria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide