Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Santa Tecla, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Sophia Biolay		Maria Herazo Gonzalez

	1	2
	1.12	4.92	Watch
	1.28	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.41)	4.16 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sophia Biolay
77.6%

Maria Herazo Gonzalez
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sophia Biolay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sophia Biolay's performance.

Maria Herazo Gonzalez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Herazo Gonzalez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sophia Biolay than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sophia Biolay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Herazo Gonzalez than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Herazo Gonzalez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sophia Biolay - Maria Herazo Gonzalez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Biolay is ranked WTA: 1046. Herazo Gonzalez is ranked WTA: 860.

Biolay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Herazo Gonzalez is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Herazo Gonzalez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Biolay is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sophia Biolay
ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Sophia Biolay - Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Sophia Biolay - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Katerina Mandelikova - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Madison Brengle - Sophia Biolay	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Sophia Biolay - Kolie Allen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Maria Herazo Gonzalez
ITF Tournaments
30.09.25	Fernanda Regalado Macias - Maria Herazo Gonzalez	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Selina Atay	Herazo Gonzalez M. retired ✺
11.09.25	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Warona Mdlulwa	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Milla Sequeira	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Irem Kurt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 W?WWL

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