Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Hong Kong 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hong Kong 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sora Fukuda		Alafia Ayeni

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Sora Fukuda
40.9%

Alafia Ayeni
59.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sora Fukuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sora Fukuda than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayeni (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Fukuda is ranked ATP: 782. Ayeni is ranked ATP: 657.

Fukuda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ayeni's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ayeni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ayeni is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fukuda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sora Fukuda
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Sora Fukuda - Digvijay Pratap Singh	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Sora Fukuda - Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Chen Dong - Sora Fukuda	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Zavier Maximus Wong - Sora Fukuda	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Yuttana Charoenphon - Sora Fukuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW
- Alafia Ayeni
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Parth Aggarwal - Alafia Ayeni	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Michael Zhu - Alafia Ayeni	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Alafia Ayeni - Herman Hoeyeraal	Canceled ✺
20.08.25	Alafia Ayeni - Soon Woo Kwon	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Hyeon Chung - Alafia Ayeni	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WW?L?

ATP Challenger
12.05.24	Sora Fukuda - Alafia Ayeni	1:2

Sora Fukuda - Alafia Ayeni