Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Sorana Cirstea		Francesca Jones

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.98
	1.74	1.98
	1.85	1.98
	1.8	1.97
	1.73	2
	1.7	1.98	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.48)	1.98 ↓ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorana Cirstea
53.1%

Francesca Jones
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorana Cirstea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sorana Cirstea's form might have worsened.

Francesca Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Jones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sorana Cirstea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Jones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Sorana Cirstea - Francesca Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cirstea will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Jones will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jones: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jones (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cirstea is ranked WTA: 117. Jones is ranked WTA: 134.

Recent matches Cirstea is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jones is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jones could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cirstea will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorana Cirstea
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Sorana Cirstea - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Sorana Cirstea - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Emma Navarro - Sorana Cirstea	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Sorana Cirstea - Maya Joint	2:0 ✺
WTA Austin
28.02.25	McCartney Kessler - Sorana Cirstea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Francesca Jones
WTA Bogota
01.04.25	Julia Riera - Francesca Jones	Jones F. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.03.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Julia Riera - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Laura Pigossi - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Valeriya Strakhova - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 ?WWWW

Sorana Cirstea - Francesca Jones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide