Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	23:15	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	23:15	HBO Max
Bulgaria	00:15	HBO Max
Croatia	23:15	HBO Max
Czech Republic	23:15	HBO Max
Denmark	23:15	HBO Max
Finland	00:15	HBO Max
France	23:15	HBO Max
Hungary	23:15	HBO Max
Moldova	00:15	HBO Max
Montenegro	23:15	HBO Max
Netherlands	23:15	HBO Max
North Macedonia	23:15	HBO Max
Norway	23:15	HBO Max
Poland	23:15	HBO Max
Romania	00:15	HBO Max
Serbia	23:15	HBO Max
Slovenia	23:15	HBO Max
Spain	23:15	HBO Max
Sweden	23:15	HBO Max


	Sorana Cirstea		Solana Sierra

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.26	3.67	Watch
	1.33	3.57
	1.33	3.34	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.31	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.69)	3.47 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorana Cirstea
72.5%

Solana Sierra
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorana Cirstea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sorana Cirstea's performance.

Solana Sierra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Solana Sierra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorana Cirstea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Solana Sierra than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Solana Sierra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sorana Cirstea - Solana Sierra Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cirstea will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Sierra will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cirstea: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Solana Sierra will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cirstea is ranked WTA: 112. Sierra is ranked WTA: 72.

Cirstea has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Sierra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sierra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cirstea is considered a favorite.

We predict that Cirstea will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Solana Sierra - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 43.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorana Cirstea
WTA Cleveland
23.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Jil Belen Teichmann	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW
- Solana Sierra
WTA Cleveland
21.08.25	Solana Sierra - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Sonay Kartal - Solana Sierra	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
08.08.25	Iva Jovic - Solana Sierra	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Solana Sierra - Emina Bektas	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Solana Sierra - Martina Trevisan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLW

Sorana Cirstea - Solana Sierra