Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KIGALI 2 (RWANDA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday


	Stefan Kozlov		Benjamin Lock

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.38	2.9
	1.41	2.96
	1.42	2.97
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.42	2.76	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	2.8 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Kozlov
66.5%

Benjamin Lock
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Benjamin Lock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Lock than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stefan Kozlov - Benjamin Lock Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kozlov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Lock will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kozlov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lock is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kozlov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
05.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Noah Schachter	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Ivan Denisov	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Christopher Bulus	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Marco Trungelliti - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
29.02.24	Yshai Oliel - Stefan Kozlov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Benjamin Lock
ATP Challenger
06.03.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Benjamin Lock - Lucas Bouquet	1:2 ✺
14.02.24	Benjamin Lock - Elmar Ejupovic	0:2 ✺
06.02.24	Luke Saville - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
04.02.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Benjamin Lock	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLL?

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