Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Stefan Palosi		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.5
	2.72	1.41	Watch
	2.53	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.88)	1.44 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Palosi
35.4%

Mathys Erhard
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Palosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Palosi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Stefan Palosi - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Palosi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Palosi is ranked ATP: 731. Erhard is ranked ATP: 263.

Palosi is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Erhard has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Palosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Erhard is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palosi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Palosi
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Thomas Faurel - Stefan Palosi	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Edoardo Zanada - Stefan Palosi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.09.25	Stefan Palosi - Dan Alexandru Tomescu	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Mihai Alexandru Coman - Stefan Palosi	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Stefan Palosi - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.25	Mathys Erhard - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Mathys Erhard - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Mathys Erhard - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Mathys Erhard - Alan Bojarski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.01.24	Mathys Erhard - Stefan Palosi	1:2
31.01.23	Mathys Erhard - Stefan Palosi	2:0

Stefan Palosi - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide