Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday


	Stefano DAgostino		Leonardo Malgaroli

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	2.04	1.67
	2.16	1.64
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.06	1.69	Watch
	2.04	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.66)	1.66 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano DAgostino
44.4%

Leonardo Malgaroli
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano DAgostino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefano DAgostino's form might have worsened.

Leonardo Malgaroli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonardo Malgaroli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano DAgostino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonardo Malgaroli than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonardo Malgaroli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stefano DAgostino - Leonardo Malgaroli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

DAgostino is ranked ATP: 1034. Malgaroli is ranked ATP: 1336.

DAgostino is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Malgaroli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano DAgostino
ITF Tournaments
25.07.24	Stefano DAgostino - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Jonas Trinker - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Andrew Paulson - Stefano DAgostino	Canceled ✺
17.07.24	Mateus Alves - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LW?LL
- Leonardo Malgaroli
ITF Tournaments
26.07.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Leonardo Malgaroli	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Leonardo Malgaroli - Samuele Pieri	Pieri S. retired ✺
24.07.24	Leonardo Malgaroli - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Giulio Perego - Leonardo Malgaroli	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Martin Klizan - Leonardo Malgaroli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 L?WLL

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