Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Strong Kirchheimer		Thomas Faurel

	1	2
			Watch
	3.7	1.24
	4.37	1.24
	3.67	1.24	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.74	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.72)	1.24 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strong Kirchheimer
24.4%

Thomas Faurel
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strong Kirchheimer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strong Kirchheimer's form might have worsened.

Thomas Faurel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thomas Faurel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strong Kirchheimer than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Strong Kirchheimer - Thomas Faurel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kirchheimer is ranked ATP: 713. Faurel is ranked ATP: 418.

Recent performances by Kirchheimer have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Faurel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Faurel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strong Kirchheimer
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Christian Langmo - Strong Kirchheimer	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Benjamin Kittay - Strong Kirchheimer	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Daniil Kakhniuk - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Strong Kirchheimer - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Strong Kirchheimer - Maxime St-Hilaire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW
- Thomas Faurel
ITF Tournaments
24.03.26	Max Schoenhaus - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	August Holmgren - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Lloyd Harris - Thomas Faurel	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.02.26	Jack Loge - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LL?LW

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