Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 6, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Ergi Kirkin		Thomas Faurel

	1	2
	2.49	1.54
	6.49	1.07	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.61)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
29.8%

Thomas Faurel
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ergi Kirkin's form might have worsened.

Thomas Faurel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thomas Faurel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thomas Faurel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ergi Kirkin - Thomas Faurel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kirkin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kirkin is ranked ATP: 594. Faurel is ranked ATP: 458.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Faurel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Faurel might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Faurel will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Mickael Kaouk	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Sergey Betov	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Mickael Kaouk	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Alexey Aleshchev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Thomas Faurel
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Amir Omarkhanov - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mickael Kaouk - Thomas Faurel	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Federico Iannaccone - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

Ergi Kirkin - Thomas Faurel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide