Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.36	3.08
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.61)	2.85 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
67.4%

Neil Oberleitner
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumit Nagal's performance.

Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neil Oberleitner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumit Nagal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neil Oberleitner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sumit Nagal - Neil Oberleitner Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Oberleitner will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagal (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 296. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 396.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Oberleitner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nagal could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Sumit Nagal - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Christian Garin - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Alan Wazny - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Dusan Obradovic - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Neil Oberleitner - Cosme Rolland de Ravel	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Neil Oberleitner - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Neil Oberleitner - Pietro Romeo Scomparin	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Neil Oberleitner - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

Sumit Nagal - Neil Oberleitner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide