Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tsukuba, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tsukuba 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Taisei Ichikawa		Evan Zhu

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Taisei Ichikawa
58.5%

Evan Zhu
41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Taisei Ichikawa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Evan Zhu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taisei Ichikawa than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taisei Ichikawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evan Zhu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Ichikawa is ranked ATP: 878. Zhu is ranked ATP: 748.

Ichikawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zhu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ichikawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ichikawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Evan Zhu - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taisei Ichikawa
ITF Tournaments
23.03.26	Karol Filar - Taisei Ichikawa	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Hunter Heck - Taisei Ichikawa	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Shinji Hazawa	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Jesse Delaney	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWL
- Evan Zhu
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Tianhui Zhang - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Jie Cui - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Evan Zhu - Duck Hee Lee	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Benjamin Thomas George - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Taisei Ichikawa - Evan Zhu