Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday


	Tamara Korpatsch		Mona Barthel

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.74	2.12
			Watch
	1.73	2
	1.73	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.17)	2.05 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamara Korpatsch
54.2%

Mona Barthel
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamara Korpatsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamara Korpatsch's performance.

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mona Barthel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamara Korpatsch than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamara Korpatsch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mona Barthel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Tamara Korpatsch - Mona Barthel Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Korpatsch will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Barthel will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korpatsch: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korpatsch is ranked WTA: 157. Barthel is ranked WTA: 192.

Korpatsch has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barthel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Korpatsch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamara Korpatsch
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Renata Jamrichova - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Tamara Korpatsch	Canceled ✺
04.06.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Elena Pridankina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLW?L
- Mona Barthel
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Alina Charaeva - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Louisa Chirico - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Mona Barthel - Xiyu Wang	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Lola Radivojevic - Mona Barthel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Mona Barthel - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0
Exhibition DTB German Pro Series Women
19.06.20	Tamara Korpatsch - Mona Barthel	Barthel M. retired

Tamara Korpatsch - Mona Barthel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide