Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Tamara Korpatsch		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.68	2.24	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.67	2.17	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	2.14 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamara Korpatsch
56.2%

Nuria Brancaccio
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamara Korpatsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamara Korpatsch's performance.

Nuria Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuria Brancaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamara Korpatsch than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamara Korpatsch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuria Brancaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Tamara Korpatsch - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Korpatsch will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Brancaccio will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korpatsch: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korpatsch is ranked WTA: 168. Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 183.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Korpatsch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nuria Brancaccio - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamara Korpatsch
ATP Challenger
12.12.24	Tamara Korpatsch - Manon Leonard	0:2 ✺
11.12.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Tamara Korpatsch	0:2 ✺
04.12.24	Alycia Parks - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
02.12.24	Tamara Korpatsch - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.11.24	Tatjana Maria - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLWL
- Nuria Brancaccio
WTA Auckland
27.12.24	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.11.24	Hanna Chang - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Sinja Kraus - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWW

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