Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Tatjana Maria		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.98	1.82	Watch
	2.04	1.86
	2.04	1.86
	2.1	1.73
	2.06	1.77	Watch
	2.07	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.1)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
46.6%

Arantxa Rus
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	0%	25.8%

Tatjana Maria - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Rus will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 58.8% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rus is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
WTA San Diego
28.02.24	Tatjana Maria - Daria Saville	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Tatjana Maria	Fernandez L. retired ✺
WTA Dubai
20.02.24	Tatjana Maria - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Varvara Gracheva - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.24	Greetje Minnen - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 L?LWL
- Arantxa Rus
WTA Dubai
19.02.24	Arantxa Rus - Victoria Azarenka	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.24	Arantxa Rus - Petra Martic	1:2 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
09.02.24	Arantxa Rus - Ana Bogdan	1:2 ✺
07.02.24	Arantxa Rus - Alize Cornet	2:1 ✺
05.02.24	Arantxa Rus - Greetje Minnen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

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