Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: BARRANQUILLA (COLOMBIA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday


	Tatjana Maria		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.2
	1.39	3.11
	1.36	3.1
	1.39	2.88	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.62)	3.01 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
68.4%

Varvara Lepchenko
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tatjana Maria's performance.

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Lepchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tatjana Maria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tatjana Maria - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maria in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lepchenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maria is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Maria to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Maria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
ATP Challenger
17.08.23	Tatjana Maria - Daria Saville	2:0 ✺
16.08.23	Tatjana Maria - Valentini Grammatikopoulou	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Tatjana Maria - Martina Capurro Taborda	2:0 ✺
WTA Prague
31.07.23	Tatjana Maria - Clara Tauson	Canceled ✺
WTA Warsaw
29.07.23	Laura Siegemund - Tatjana Maria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWW?L
- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
17.08.23	Varvara Lepchenko - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
16.08.23	Caroline Dolehide - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Varvara Lepchenko - Timea Babos	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Irina Khromacheva - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.08.23	Lulu Sun - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.08.21	Tatjana Maria - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2

Tatjana Maria - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide