Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: PUERTO VALLARTA (MEXICO), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Taylah Preston		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.72	2.05
	1.76	2.1
	1.73	2
	1.79	1.95	Watch
	1.86	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)	1.99 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylah Preston
52.8%

Maria Lourdes Carle
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylah Preston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylah Preston's performance.

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylah Preston than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taylah Preston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Lourdes Carle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Taylah Preston - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Carle will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Carle to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylah Preston
ATP Challenger
23.02.24	Yulia Starodubtseva - Taylah Preston	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Taylah Preston - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	Taylah Preston - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	2:0 ✺
WTA Hua Hin
30.01.24	Taylah Preston - Lin Zhu	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Taylah Preston - Ekaterina Makarova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
23.02.24	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
22.02.24	Caty McNally - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
19.02.24	Chloe Paquet - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.02.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Whitney Osuigwe	1:2 ✺
08.02.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLW

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