Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Antalya 4, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Tena Lukas		Darya Astakhova

	1	2
	2.46	1.47	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	1.01	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.42)	2.61 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tena Lukas
54.9%

Darya Astakhova
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tena Lukas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tena Lukas's performance.

Darya Astakhova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darya Astakhova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tena Lukas than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tena Lukas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darya Astakhova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tena Lukas - Darya Astakhova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lukas (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Lukas is ranked WTA: 455. Astakhova is ranked WTA: 380.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Lukas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Astakhova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Astakhova will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tena Lukas
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Tena Lukas - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Tena Lukas - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Luisina Giovannini - Tena Lukas	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Tena Lukas	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Tena Lukas - Ela Nala Milic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLW?
- Darya Astakhova
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Anastasija Cvetkovic - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Alexandra Shubladze - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Darya Astakhova - Angela Fita Boluda	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Amarissa Kiara Toth - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Darya Astakhova - Alexandra Shubladze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Tena Lukas - Darya Astakhova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide