Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Selva Gardena (Italy), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday


	Tena Lukas		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.49	2.38
	1.53	2.38
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.28	Watch
	1.49	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	2.35 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tena Lukas
60.8%

Federica Urgesi
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tena Lukas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tena Lukas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Tena Lukas - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lukas is ranked WTA: 248. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 569.

Lukas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Urgesi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lukas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tena Lukas
ITF Tournaments
26.11.24	Tena Lukas - Noemi Basiletti	Basiletti N. retired ✺
19.11.24	Tena Lukas - Dalila Jakupovic	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	Barbora Palicova - Tena Lukas	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Lisa Zaar - Tena Lukas	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	Tena Lukas - Jennifer Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 ?LLLL
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
25.11.24	Samira De Stefano - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
14.11.24	Federica Urgesi - Silvia Ambrosio	1:2 ✺
13.11.24	Ioana Zvonaru - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Federica Urgesi - Ylena In-Albon	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Zara Darken - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

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