Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Tena Lukas		Madison Sieg

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	1.95
	1.80	1.90
	1.91	1.89
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.72	2.10
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.72)	1.93 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tena Lukas
51.5%

Madison Sieg
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tena Lukas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Madison Sieg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tena Lukas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Sieg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Tena Lukas - Madison Sieg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lukas is ranked WTA: 405. Sieg is ranked WTA: 355.

In recent matches, Lukas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sieg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lukas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Tena Lukas - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.65%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tena Lukas
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Tena Lukas	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Aya Akan - Tena Lukas	0:2
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Tena Lukas - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Joy De Zeeuw - Tena Lukas	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Arina Garbiela Vasilescu - Tena Lukas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWW
- Madison Sieg
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Noelia Manta - Madison Sieg	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Madison Sieg - Vivian Wolff	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Madison Sieg - Alicia Herrero Linana	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

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