Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Norman, OK, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Norman 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Theo Papamalamis		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.99	1.76
	1.95	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Theo Papamalamis
47.1%

Alex Rybakov
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Theo Papamalamis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Theo Papamalamis than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Theo Papamalamis - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Papamalamis is ranked ATP: 538., and Rybakov is ranked ATP: 636..

Papamalamis has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Rybakov have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Papamalamis could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Papamalamis has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Theo Papamalamis - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Theo Papamalamis
ITF Tournaments
18.10.26	Jack Anthrop - Theo Papamalamis	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Nikola Slavic - Theo Papamalamis	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Theo Papamalamis - Johan Oscar Lien	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Theo Papamalamis - Hoyoung Roh	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Theo Papamalamis - Matei Cristian Onofrei	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW
- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
22.10.26	Gabriel Debru - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
20.10.26	Gavin Young - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Alex Rybakov - Bor Artnak	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Karl Poling - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Luca Staeheli - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.01.25	Alex Rybakov - Theo Papamalamis	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Theo Papamalamis
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Alastair Gray - Theo Papamalamis	✺

Theo Papamalamis - Alex Rybakov