Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Thiago Monteiro		Jason Kubler

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.04	1.7	Watch
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.11	1.71	Watch
	2.04	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.91)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
45.3%

Jason Kubler
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	0%	69.6%

Thiago Monteiro - Jason Kubler Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Kubler will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kubler: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 109. Kubler is ranked ATP: 638.

Monteiro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kubler is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Monteiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP United Cup
29.12.24	Alexander Zverev - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
27.12.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.11.24	Hady Habib - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
15.11.24	Tristan Boyer - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Jason Kubler
ATP Brisbane
27.12.24	Lucas Pouille - Jason Kubler	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.12.24	Jason Kubler - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Jason Kubler - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Thomas Braithwaite - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Jason Kubler - Blake Mott	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
23.03.23	Thiago Monteiro - Jason Kubler	2:0

Thiago Monteiro - Jason Kubler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide