Match Info

Date: 4 February 2022, Friday


	Thomas Fabbiano		Cedrik-Marcel Stebe

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.25	1.64	Watch
	2.12	1.62
	2.19	1.69
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.22	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.38)	1.65 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thomas Fabbiano
43.3%

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thomas Fabbiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Fabbiano than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thomas Fabbiano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cedrik-Marcel Stebe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Thomas Fabbiano - Cedrik Marcel Stebe Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fabbiano will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Stebe will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stebe: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Fabbiano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stebe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stebe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fabbiano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thomas Fabbiano
ATP Challenger
02.02.22	Tennys Sandgren - Thomas Fabbiano	1:2 ✺
31.01.22	Thomas Fabbiano - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.22	Thomas Fabbiano - Emilio Gomez	1:2 ✺
11.01.22	Thomas Fabbiano - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
10.01.22	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Thomas Fabbiano	Seyboth Wild T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLW?
- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
02.02.22	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
31.01.22	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Mikael Torpegaard	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
21.01.22	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
20.01.22	Jay Clarke - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
10.01.21	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Thomas Fabbiano	2:1
ATP Gstaad
27.07.19	Thomas Fabbiano - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2
ATP Challenger
08.11.16	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Thomas Fabbiano	2:0

Thomas Fabbiano - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide