Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 37 (Tunisia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 September 2024, Wednesday


	Tiago Pereira		Erik Arutiunian

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.31	3.1
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	3.18	Watch
	1.31	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
70.5%

Erik Arutiunian
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Erik Arutiunian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Arutiunian than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Tiago Pereira - Erik Arutiunian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 526. Arutiunian is ranked ATP: 675.

Recent matches Pereira is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arutiunian is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arutiunian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pereira is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Tiago Pereira - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Ryan Nijboer - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Moez Echargui - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Joao Portugal - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.08.24	Tiago Pereira - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL
- Erik Arutiunian
ITF Tournaments
04.09.24	Erik Arutiunian - Aleksei Mokrov	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Erik Arutiunian - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Erik Arutiunian - Amirkhamza Nasridinov	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Yuichiro Inui - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Alexandr Binda - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW

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